Description
Definition. Coinday destruction can be considered a form of both time- and volume-weighted 'spent volume'. From this lens, this chart constructs NVT and RVT oscillators for the Long-Term Holder cohort, comparing the value held within LTH supply against the corresponding value of entity-adjusted LTH coinday destruction: the LTH CDD-NVT (blue) and LTH-RVT (dark navy), plotted over price (grey).
Technical. Both oscillators normalize a 90-day sum of USD-denominated LTH coinday destruction:
LTH Coinday NVT = LTH Supply x Price / sum(LTH-CDD x Price, 90)(blue)LTH Coinday RVT = LTH Supply x LTH Realized Price / sum(LTH-CDD x Price, 90)(dark navy)
where the LTH Realized Price is recovered as Price / LTH-MVRV, making the RVT numerator the LTH cohort's realized cap.
Interpretation. Generally speaking, NVT and RVT Ratios can be interpreted within the following framework:
High values and uptrends indicate that CDD volumes are declining relative to the value of the supply region, indicating a potential slow-down in network utilization.
Low values and downtrends indicate that CDD volumes are increasing relative to the value of the supply region, indicating potential growth in network utilization.
Stable sideways values indicate that CDD volumes are in equilibrium with the value of the supply region, indicating the current trend is likely sustainable and in equilibrium.
Because Long-Term Holders are the market's high-conviction cohort, spikes in their coinday destruction relative to their held value (low/declining ratios) flag meaningful distribution events — old hands spending into strength or capitulating — while high, rising ratios describe deepening dormancy and accumulation.
Notes. Built from Entity-Adjusted LTH-CDD, Long-Term Holder Supply and LTH-MVRV. See also the Short-Term Holder, Entity-Adjusted and aggregate versions.