BTC
BTC
ETH
ETH
SOL
SOL
USDT
USDT
USDC
USDC
XRP
XRP
TRX
TRX
BNB
BNB
DOGE
DOGE
TON
TON
More Assets
Glassnode

Description

Definition. The Investor Tool frames Bitcoin's macro cycle position using two long-horizon reference levels: the 2-year (730-day) moving average of price (green) and a 5x multiple of that same average (pink), plotted over price (black).

Technical. The two bands are constructed as follows:

  • Lower Band = sma(Price, 730) (green)
  • Upper Band = 5 x sma(Price, 730) (pink)

Interpretation. The tool follows the 2-Year MA Multiplier framework popularized by LookIntoBitcoin: phases where price has traded below the 2-year moving average have historically corresponded to deep-value accumulation zones near cycle lows, while excursions above the 5x multiple have coincided with late-stage euphoria around cycle tops. Between the bands lies the bulk of Bitcoin's trading history, so the chart is best read as a slow-moving cycle compass rather than a timing signal. Because the multiplier is fixed at 5x, the upper band embeds the historical scale of past bull markets; as market size grows and cycle amplitude compresses, price may top out progressively further below the upper band.

Notes. Built from Price. Related long-horizon models: Mayer Multiple, Price Temperature, Technical Pricing Models.

Chart Details