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Glassnode

Description

Definition. This chart compares the yearly balance change of the smallest entity cohorts against the volume of BTC mined over the same period, providing a relative measure of the amount of new issuance which was theoretically absorbed by each cohort: Shrimp (entities holding < 1 BTC, red), Crab (1-10 BTC, salmon), and Fish (10-100 BTC, teal).

Technical. Each cohort's absorption rate is its 365-day balance change divided by the 365-day change in circulating supply (i.e. coins mined over the past year):

  • Absorption Rate (%) = diff(Cohort Supply, 365) / diff(Circulating Supply, 365)

The Shrimp cohort aggregates the entity balance bands below 1 BTC. Price is shown in grey for reference.

Interpretation. Note that values over 100% are possible as coins can be transferred from other investor cohorts (e.g. Whales to Shrimps, or Exchanges to Fish).

  • Values over 100% indicate that the cohort increased their aggregate balance by more than all coins mined in the past year, and thus acted as a net absorbing balance.

  • Values near 0% indicate that the cohort's aggregate balance was approximately flat over the last year.

  • Values below 0% indicate that the cohort's aggregate balance decreased over the past year, and was distributed alongside newly issued coins.

Persistent absorption above 100% by retail-sized cohorts describes a structural demand base soaking up more than the miners' entire annual output — a dynamic that grows more consequential with each halving as issuance shrinks.

Notes. For more information, please see our research report where this metric was first featured: The Shrimp Supply Sink: Revisiting the Distribution of Bitcoin Supply. The larger cohorts are charted in Yearly Absorption Rates (Fish to Shark) and (Shark to Whale), with Exchanges and Miners as institutional counterparts.

Chart Details