This chart presents Short-Term Holder variants of two classic on-chain metrics, and some of the most widely recognized, are the Realized Price, and its derivative the MVRV Ratio.
STH Realized Price is the average price of the Short-Term Holder BTC supply, valued at the day each coin last transacted on-chain. This is often considered the 'on-chain cost basis' of this cohort.
STH MVRV Ratio is the ratio between the market value (MV, spot price) and the Realized value (RV, realized price) for the Short-Term Holder Cohort. This allows for a visualization of Bitcoin market cycles, and the unrealized profitability of this cohort.
MVRV is an oscillator measuring the average Unrealized Profit/Loss multiple held by Bitcoin Short-Term Holders. The average unrealized profit/loss held within the entire coin supply can be calculated as: Avg Unrealized PnL = MVRV - 1
MVRV value of 2.0 means the current price is 2x the market avg cost basis (STH BTC holder is up 2x).
MVRV value of 1.0 means the current price is equal to the market avg cost basis (STH BTC holder is at break-even).
MVRV value of 0.85 means the current price is -15% below the market avg cost basis (STH BTC holder is underwater by -15%).
💡 Hint: Extreme MVRV values to the upside, and downside can help to identify periods where the market is overheated, or undervalued, and where investor profitability has reached a large deviation from the mean (Realized Price).