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Glassnode

Chart description

The Bitcoin Power-Law Model provides a mathematical description of Bitcoin's historical price trends, revealing a power-law distribution on a log-log scale. This analysis suggests a correlation between time and price. However, the model's foundation on historical data and the issue of non-independent sequential price points raise questions about its broader applicability.

The model's fit (price = exp(5.71*ln(days) -38.16)), using days since Bitcoin's inception as the x-axis and price data until March 21, 2024, shows a high coefficient of determination (R2 =0.953), reflecting a strong historical correlation. Yet, this retrospective analysis lacks predictive power for future market behavior due to its assumptions and the stochastic nature of financial markets in general. Thus, while offering valuable insights into Bitcoin's past growth, the model's applicability to forecast future movements is limited and should be approached with caution. This metric was first coined by @Giovann35084111.

Latest value: $128,273.72 (as of 01 Mar 2026)